Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Tristan McCormick vs Imanol Lopez Morillo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f1285e66031d7aacf393ba578554f145e1bebeee824fb3fd96c8763f17bbb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tristan McCormickof Tristan McCormick, Imanol Lopez Morillo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Tristan McCormick | 67c | 1,959$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 35c | 858.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 29c | 578$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…bb9ebacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 46c | 261.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 21c | 230.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Tristan McCormick | 62c | 125.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 30c | 121.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 54c | 121.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tristan McCormick | 44c | 101.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tristan McCormick | 76c | 99.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 50c | 85.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tristan McCormick | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Tristan McCormick | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tristan McCormick | 72c | 79.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Tristan McCormick | 50c | 79.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 34c | 61.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tristan McCormick | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tristan McCormick | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 221 | 43.9%97 W · 124 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tristan McCormick | 78c | 48.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Tristan McCormick | 52c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Imanol Lopez Morillo | 51c | 29.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Tristan McCormick | 52c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Imanol Lopez Morillo | 49c | 25.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.