Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a60785e910ea673d70f08fb74a9757f7508e94642bf23dc769a160b1eb479c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 65c | 7,498$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.55 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 3,695$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.7 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 53c | 3,192$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 34c | 2,659$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.99 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 37c | 2,611$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.28 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,445$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.69 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 1,240$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.29 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 949$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.09 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 857.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 855.63$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.36 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 837.03$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.64 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 52c | 828$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.01 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 17c | 818.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 48c | 543.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.14 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 58c | 517.24$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…a02abacked Under | 46c | 386.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 68c | 326.61$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 295.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 235.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 216.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 169.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 37c | 152.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 43c | 126.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 126.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 40c | 121.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 61c | 112.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 108.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 47c | 103.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 19c | 99.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 44c | 95.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Under | 38c | 94.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 28c | 68.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 65.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 47.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 45c | 46.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 40.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 37c | 38.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 63c | 38.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 19.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.