Asian League · resolved market
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726a1001be0bd1479fc817a281812c332ce595696024f4dfbb3efac771465263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 11,116$8,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.34 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 22c | 5,648$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.36 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 3,873$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.05 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 21c | 3,284$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 24c | 1,349$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 906.38$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 860.37$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 738.97$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 71c | 693.83$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 405.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 146 | 29.5%43 W · 103 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Under | 58c | 342.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 232.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 223.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 29c | 217.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 205.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 14c | 200.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 19c | 179.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 27c | 159.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 79c | 159$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 73c | 155.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 27c | 135.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 27c | 135.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 125.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 34c | 120.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 78c | 108$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…cf22backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Under | 80c | 81.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 57cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 78c | 50.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Over | 31c | 47.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 77c | 25.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed Under | 77c | 22.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 79c | 18.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Chengdu Rongcheng FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Zhejiang Zhiye FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.