Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae853ca7b1199fd3a9d7c79e7f11deab2dde5ea0e35eab6125f94aee9bc346a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carstenszof InterActive Philippines, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked InterActive Philippines | 41c | 1,331$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Carstensz | 53c | 1,293$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.26 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked InterActive Philippines | 8c | 754.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked InterActive Philippines | 46c | 543.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.25 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed InterActive Philippines | 42c | 523.85$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Carstensz | 58c | 501.41$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Carstensz | 64c | 494.01$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked InterActive Philippines | 8c | 493$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Carstensz | 60c | 492.93$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Carstensz | 56c | 456.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Carstensz | 68c | 451.7$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed InterActive Philippines | 43c | 450.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed InterActive Philippines | 59c | 444.74$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked InterActive Philippines | 40c | 362.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Carstensz | 41c | 357.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed InterActive Philippines | 5c | 354.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Carstensz | 42c | 339.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Carstensz | 59c | 332.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked InterActive Philippines | 63c | 263.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…8c60backed Carstensz | 73c | 252.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked InterActive Philippines | 47c | 232.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…df94backed InterActive Philippines | 50c | 214.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed InterActive Philippines | 18c | 208.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4ff9backed Carstensz | 76c | 199.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Carstensz | 44c | 198.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed InterActive Philippines | 51c | 194.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked InterActive Philippines | 44c | 189.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…d4c9backed Carstensz | 42c | 183.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…cd5abacked InterActive Philippines | 54c | 179.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed InterActive Philippines | 42c | 178.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…ec94backed Carstensz | 67c | 176.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked InterActive Philippines | 49c | 174.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…0370backed Carstensz | 67c | 158.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked InterActive Philippines | 50c | 153.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Carstensz | 68c | 144.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked InterActive Philippines | 25c | 126.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Carstensz | 74c | 115.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed InterActive Philippines | 31c | 111.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed InterActive Philippines | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Carstensz | 49c | 100.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed InterActive Philippines | 42c | 99.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed InterActive Philippines | 60c | 81.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…1cb3backed InterActive Philippines | 55c | 78.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed InterActive Philippines | 30c | 78.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Carstensz | 63c | 78.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed InterActive Philippines | 38c | 75.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed InterActive Philippines | 62c | 69.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed InterActive Philippines | 42c | 69.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Carstensz | 64c | 68.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…a5a2backed Carstensz | 72c | 68.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed InterActive Philippines | 49c | 67.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked InterActive Philippines | 42c | 64.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed InterActive Philippines | 45c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked InterActive Philippines | 39c | 60.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Carstensz | 52c | 59.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked InterActive Philippines | 43c | 58.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Carstensz | 62c | 58.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked InterActive Philippines | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…76e9backed InterActive Philippines | 27c | 52.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Carstensz | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…66a8backed InterActive Philippines | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Carstensz | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…358abacked InterActive Philippines | 59c | 49.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Carstensz | 68c | 49.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed InterActive Philippines | 58c | 48.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Carstensz | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6dd8backed InterActive Philippines | 48c | 40.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Carstensz | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed InterActive Philippines | 40c | 32.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Carstensz | 63c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…41a5backed InterActive Philippines | 36c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Carstensz | 43c | 26.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0fa8backed InterActive Philippines | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Carstensz | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked InterActive Philippines | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Carstensz | 60c | 23.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Carstensz | 70c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…5f4abacked InterActive Philippines | 58c | 18.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz - Game 1 WinnerCarstensz won
- Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerInterActive Philippines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.