South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b94755d9b4f1d077c4d65bfb38feb927448257fd5a8b9fb16d51b07d08d4394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 3,849$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,333$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,960$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.72 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 1,931$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 1,540$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.17 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,350$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 52c | 1,115$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 52c | 440.26$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 3c | 427.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 25c | 400.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 21c | 275$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 272.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 240.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…9780backed Yes | 7c | 203.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…94f7backed Yes | 39c | 202.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 48c | 165.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 49c | 112.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 52c | 108.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 15c | 100.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yes | 14c | 85.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 59c | 81.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 49c | 61.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…439ebacked Yes | 49c | 59.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 57.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 52c | 56.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 52.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…a925backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 32c | 47.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 49c | 41.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 39.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 49c | 38.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…5728backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 31.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.