South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d60e8a9d8a6c2b19032a26f7b734f3f48351a8f0a7b50e2f13c15a013cb2c79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 15,006$7,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.04 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 49c | 10,550$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.73 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 8,637$4,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.83 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 8,048$4,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 31c | 7,402$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.16 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 69c | 5,119$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.69 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 4,673$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.52 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 56c | 2,368$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.94 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 2,137$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Yes | 51c | 1,483$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Yes | 46c | 1,148$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 48c | 697.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.71 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 21c | 692.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 47c | 657.06$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.23 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 614.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.93 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 75c | 435.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 50c | 423.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 421$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 77c | 319.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 28c | 300.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Yes | 48c | 269.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 265.91$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 66c | 227.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 78c | 227.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 165.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 155.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +289.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 56c | 136.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked No | 55c | 131.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…eca0backed Yes | 77c | 129.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 80c | 125.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 49c | 121.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 80c | 109.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 19c | 93.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 50c | 79.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 73.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 62c | 68.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes | 71c | 58.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 23c | 57.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 23c | 55.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 43.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907f…19b1backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 76c | 41.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed No | 51c | 36.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…0037backed No | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Yes | 72c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked No | 43c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 24.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Yes | 71c | 24.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 67c | 20.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked No | 55c | 18.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…7c1ebacked No | 61c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 79c | 15.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…c1c6backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked No | 78c | 14.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…7a15backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.