CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd7a01ef55f9794593b99e0c759c82665fe608b6672c3b2abf467ff940f0427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BORRACHEIROSof Keyd, BORRACHEIROS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Keyd | 16c | 1,477$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BORRACHEIROS | 72c | 617.04$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Keyd | 72c | 501.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked BORRACHEIROS | 76c | 385.95$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BORRACHEIROS | 67c | 374.47$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Keyd | 44c | 340.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd | 55c | 327.32$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 34c | 310.44$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BORRACHEIROS | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BORRACHEIROS | 32c | 175$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BORRACHEIROS | 39c | 167.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Keyd | 21c | 139.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed BORRACHEIROS | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BORRACHEIROS | 21c | 133$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BORRACHEIROS | 38c | 100.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BORRACHEIROS | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Keyd | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Keyd | 13c | 94.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BORRACHEIROS | 59c | 94.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed BORRACHEIROS | 27c | 82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed BORRACHEIROS | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…4dbabacked BORRACHEIROS | 36c | 71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BORRACHEIROS | 66c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BORRACHEIROS | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 72c | 45.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 45c | 41.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed BORRACHEIROS | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BORRACHEIROS | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 58c | 32.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Keyd | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Keyd | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 77c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 43c | 27.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 66c | 21.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Keyd | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Keyd | 66c | 18.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BORRACHEIROS | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageBORRACHEIROS won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)BORRACHEIROS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.