Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Tomas Martinez vs Eduardo Ribeiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be0191bee85e5cc1f7bb4dc49dbde9afea9a250ee4cc17e35c9cb57b8910c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eduardo Ribeiroof Tomas Martinez, Eduardo Ribeiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tomas Martinez | 12c | 7,799$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.27 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tomas Martinez | 7c | 6,878$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Tomas Martinez | 16c | 5,836$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.68 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tomas Martinez | 14c | 5,650$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomas Martinez | 7c | 1,869$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tomas Martinez | 5c | 1,595$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tomas Martinez | 7c | 810.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Tomas Martinez | 6c | 746.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Tomas Martinez | 20c | 609.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tomas Martinez | 11c | 582.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 80c | 523.82$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 72c | 383.33$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tomas Martinez | 18c | 366.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Tomas Martinez | 11c | 335.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 72c | 310.49$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 73c | 235$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Tomas Martinez | 12c | 214.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Tomas Martinez | 8c | 170.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Tomas Martinez | 24c | 167.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Tomas Martinez | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 73c | 128.78$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tomas Martinez | 26c | 119.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 75c | 117.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 77c | 92.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tomas Martinez | 27c | 88.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Tomas Martinez | 28c | 74.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tomas Martinez | 26c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tomas Martinez | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tomas Martinez | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Tomas Martinez | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Tomas Martinez | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tomas Martinez | 28c | 49.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tomas Martinez | 25c | 46.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 78c | 29.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 74c | 16.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eduardo Ribeiro | 72c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 72c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Eduardo Ribeiro | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.