Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sacramento State Hornets vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1b788a7df71ffe6dde0d285ca66d7db26637e6aec20d7fc6532a0f092f62b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof Sacramento State Hornets, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 18c | 3,334$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 20c | 1,601$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed CSUN Matadors | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.2 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 20c | 1,485$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked CSUN Matadors | 72c | 1,409$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.3 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sacramento State Hornets | 19c | 325.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sacramento State Hornets | 54c | 284$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed CSUN Matadors | 54c | 248.04$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sacramento State Hornets | 19c | 235.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CSUN Matadors | 75c | 212.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Sacramento State Hornets | 27c | 130.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sacramento State Hornets | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Sacramento State Hornets | 21c | 68.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked CSUN Matadors | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.