Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Andrea Collarini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c36e9c9a100b8113e36015636a1dca5d8e1c3c0dba8a1fa3d428bc70706f374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Silva, Collarini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Collarini | 71c | 1,831$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Collarini | 23c | 1,145$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.66 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…4795backed Silva | 33c | 1,110$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Silva | 20c | 981.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Collarini | 69c | 827.37$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.89 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Silva | 29c | 817.24$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.24 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Collarini | 12c | 754$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Silva | 29c | 667.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.86 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Collarini | 16c | 600.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Collarini | 69c | 476.57$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Silva | 30c | 436.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Collarini | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Collarini | 48c | 399.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Silva | 63c | 340$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Silva | 31c | 323$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Collarini | 66c | 303.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Silva | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Collarini | 15c | 278.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Collarini | 72c | 276.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Collarini | 47c | 273.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…0df7backed Silva | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Silva | 30c | 246.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Collarini | 69c | 212.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Silva | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Silva | 30c | 183.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Silva | 36c | 167$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Silva | 38c | 133.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Silva | 31c | 128.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Silva | 35c | 121.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Collarini | 41c | 121.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Silva | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Silva | 28c | 112.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Silva | 29c | 110.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Silva | 29c | 110.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Silva | 19c | 105.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Collarini | 49c | 104.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Collarini | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Silva | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Collarini | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Collarini | 56c | 96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Collarini | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Collarini | 25c | 67.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Collarini | 41c | 66.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Collarini | 70c | 65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Collarini | 20c | 55.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Collarini | 72c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Collarini | 59c | 47.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Collarini | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Collarini | 69c | 30.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Collarini | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Collarini | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…b61bbacked Silva | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Collarini | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Collarini | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Collarini | 71c | 19.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Collarini | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.