Tennis · resolved market
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c72ef3033ddb227098bc29e81a575b02f9e36f38488957dcb460f69a2ef8f0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aran Teixido Garciaof Emma Lene, Aran Teixido Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 33c | 2,099$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.34 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Emma Lene | 42c | 1,428$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.75 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 57c | 1,179$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Emma Lene | 67c | 889.33$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Emma Lene | 61c | 783.48$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.11 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 27c | 485.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85e…5cd5backed Emma Lene | 78c | 339.45$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.77 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 18c | 294.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 62c | 222$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Emma Lene | 69c | 166.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Emma Lene | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 63c | 115.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Emma Lene | 41c | 113.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 15c | 95.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Emma Lene | 57c | 77.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Emma Lene | 28c | 67.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 55c | 62.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Emma Lene | 41c | 61.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 46c | 55.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Emma Lene | 18c | 54.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 63c | 51.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Emma Lene | 42c | 50.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Emma Lene | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…f5d4backed Aran Teixido Garcia | 63c | 38.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Emma Lene | 61c | 32.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Emma Lene | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Emma Lene | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Emma Lene | 54c | 26.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Aran Teixido Garcia | 46c | 23.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Emma Lene | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garciathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Lene vs GarciaLene won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.