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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof Lavked, UNiTY esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27e0…b09bbacked UNiTY esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNiTY esports44c6,735$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.283,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Lavked44c3,575$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.595759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Lavked55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94575356.8%428 W · 325 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf981…44b7backed Lavked54c1,999$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.159761.9%60 W · 37 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed UNiTY esports45c1,729$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.474,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Lavked72c1,637$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3428254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked UNiTY esports47c1,507$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.663,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed UNiTY esports25c1,472$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.695,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Lavked54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9818356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Lavked50c909.07$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45616850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Lavked56c894.48$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6496945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked67c623.35$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.367,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed UNiTY esports36c577.4$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9910333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Lavked56c544.22$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.164261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNiTY esports58c496.29$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.965,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…20e0backed UNiTY esports66c452.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports50c389.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.216,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked UNiTY esports45c383.57$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.461,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked UNiTY esports8c381.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.22560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed UNiTY esports7c366.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9813545.2%61 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Lavked70c285.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.820462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed UNiTY esports54c270.76$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.242,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked UNiTY esports29c243.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.395,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed UNiTY esports37c233.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9144748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked45c205.83$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.784,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed UNiTY esports31c205$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5549843%214 W · 284 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Lavked56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8826245.4%119 W · 143 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked UNiTY esports55c184.22$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1931845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e99…0a26backed UNiTY esports43c170$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.17643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked UNiTY esports34c159.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5558254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Lavked46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0717645.5%80 W · 96 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed UNiTY esports32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Lavked52c147$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8711254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Lavked68c146.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9942757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed UNiTY esports54c146.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.861,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Lavked44c144$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.288735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked UNiTY esports49c110.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.872,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed UNiTY esports37c106.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Lavked57c100.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4422650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Lavked40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6033241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed UNiTY esports47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Lavked40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed UNiTY esports30c79.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed UNiTY esports46c67.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.744,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Lavked44c67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5236845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed UNiTY esports43c62.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.99533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed Lavked25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4532951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabcd…14f6backed UNiTY esports47c59.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick46cpaid-82.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UNiTY esports28c59.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.882,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Lavked51c54.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.525040%20 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Lavked48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266225.8%16 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Lavked64c49.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.629246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Lavked39c49.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9986154.1%466 W · 395 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089f…f599backed UNiTY esports55c49.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed UNiTY esports40c47.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.944030%12 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Lavked40c47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked UNiTY esports43c40.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed UNiTY esports46c40.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6176248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Lavked40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd00d…83debacked UNiTY esports30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Lavked67c37.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Lavked40c33.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0721739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Lavked57c33.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4115160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Lavked44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed UNiTY esports54c31.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.941,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Lavked48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1213324.8%33 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x238d…eb74backed Lavked48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.127022.9%16 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…f2e1backed UNiTY esports55c28.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked UNiTY esports52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Lavked60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86858.8%40 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked Lavked55c19.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8711655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…2a98backed Lavked68c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.652962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.