Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Nicholas Ionel vs Daniil Sarksian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca725785259d11f44d14ce8ca368899c200df36e93b86a176ef41d2e9e1628f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Sarksianof Nicholas Ionel, Daniil Sarksian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d47…fd06backed Daniil Sarksian | 36c | 1,771$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nicholas Ionel | 64c | 1,562$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.47 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Nicholas Ionel | 67c | 900.49$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Daniil Sarksian | 42c | 797.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.71 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniil Sarksian | 33c | 619.79$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 541.04$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniil Sarksian | 35c | 300$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 212$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 197.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Daniil Sarksian | 33c | 152.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Daniil Sarksian | 31c | 145.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Nicholas Ionel | 68c | 65.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicholas Ionel | 74c | 54.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Daniil Sarksian | 40c | 50.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Daniil Sarksian | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Nicholas Ionel | 73c | 44.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Daniil Sarksian | 28c | 39.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicholas Ionel | 66c | 37.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…8b0ebacked Nicholas Ionel | 67c | 35.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Nicholas Ionel | 66c | 30.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Nicholas Ionel | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 390 | 39.5%154 W · 236 L | -46.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nicholas Ionel | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nicholas Ionel | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Nicholas Ionel | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nicholas Ionel | 66c | 16.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nicholas Ionel | 72c | 14.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.