Tennis · resolved market
Contrexeville: Amandine Hesse vs Mayar Sherif
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd7896e85f5582966fba164eb7f207474211c87bc51407ee8bccaffe3d3a9c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mayar Sherifof Amandine Hesse, Mayar Sherif
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Amandine Hesse | 25c | 17,119$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.96 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mayar Sherif | 79c | 11,191$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amandine Hesse | 10c | 5,822$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Amandine Hesse | 13c | 4,771$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.37 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Amandine Hesse | 13c | 3,033$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Amandine Hesse | 23c | 2,603$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.79 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…d284backed Amandine Hesse | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Amandine Hesse | 12c | 1,233$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.39 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Mayar Sherif | 72c | 1,216$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.39 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Amandine Hesse | 12c | 1,076$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Amandine Hesse | 24c | 750$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Amandine Hesse | 14c | 682.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Amandine Hesse | 15c | 630.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Amandine Hesse | 22c | 564.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mayar Sherif | 79c | 416.59$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Mayar Sherif | 77c | 415.58$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Amandine Hesse | 15c | 385.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…e72fbacked Amandine Hesse | 30c | 359.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Amandine Hesse | 30c | 336.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Amandine Hesse | 13c | 285.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Mayar Sherif | 79c | 278.39$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Amandine Hesse | 31c | 236.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Amandine Hesse | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Amandine Hesse | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Amandine Hesse | 28c | 199.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Amandine Hesse | 33c | 153.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 46.7%141 W · 161 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Amandine Hesse | 17c | 152$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Amandine Hesse | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Amandine Hesse | 11c | 123.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Amandine Hesse | 16c | 111.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Amandine Hesse | 21c | 108.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Amandine Hesse | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amandine Hesse | 15c | 94.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Amandine Hesse | 17c | 88.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mayar Sherif | 76c | 81.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Amandine Hesse | 21c | 70.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Amandine Hesse | 20c | 67.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Amandine Hesse | 16c | 66.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Mayar Sherif | 72c | 53.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Mayar Sherif | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Mayar Sherif | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mayar Sherif | 73c | 31.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Mayar Sherif | 74c | 29.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Mayar Sherif | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Mayar Sherif | 74c | 18.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Contrexeville: Amandine Hesse vs Mayar Sherifthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hesse vs SherifSherif won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.