Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Grammatikopoulou vs Parks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cdf78f4f2f4f2a374ff619c181ff9465a9a1de21f03520f3d710b92f0ccf6c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parksof Grammatikopoulou, Parks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Parks | 57c | 13,841$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.19 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grammatikopoulou | 38c | 10,912$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grammatikopoulou | 51c | 1,194$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.02 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grammatikopoulou | 51c | 800$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grammatikopoulou | 57c | 760.76$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Grammatikopoulou | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grammatikopoulou | 64c | 397.12$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grammatikopoulou | 38c | 393.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Parks | 35c | 313.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Parks | 77c | 303.75$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Parks | 61c | 300.38$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grammatikopoulou | 53c | 289$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Parks | 37c | 204.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Grammatikopoulou | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Grammatikopoulou | 51c | 166.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Parks | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Grammatikopoulou | 45c | 150.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Parks | 36c | 141.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Grammatikopoulou | 47c | 140.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Grammatikopoulou | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Parks | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Grammatikopoulou | 50c | 37.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…61ffbacked Parks | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Parks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Parks | 71c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Grammatikopoulou vs Parksthis page
- Athens Open: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Alycia ParksAlycia Parks won
- Grammatikopoulou vs. Parks: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Grammatikopoulou vs ParksParks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.