Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf5ed39d5c692945329613450fc8a33093f0f6ec4d6768a23f4d79323b11d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Waltonof Landaluce, Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Landaluce | 11c | 1,013$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Landaluce | 38c | 837.31$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Walton | 41c | 483.09$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.23 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Landaluce | 12c | 315.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Landaluce | 17c | 310.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Walton | 53c | 275.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Walton | 47c | 273.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Walton | 42c | 241.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Landaluce | 75c | 118.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Landaluce | 19c | 89.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Walton | 25c | 86.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Landaluce | 57c | 81.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Walton | 37c | 78.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Walton | 44c | 74.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Walton | 30c | 73.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Landaluce | 49c | 73.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Walton | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Walton | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Walton | 47c | 38.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked Walton | 69c | 37.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walton | 45c | 34.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Walton | 74c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Walton | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Walton | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Waltonthis page
- Landaluce vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam WaltonAdam Walton won
- Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Walton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.