Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Chenting Zhu vs Peangtarn Plipuech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfba7f4d76b058afe7c6f48cc3923f82f7d1695edbadd93ae0469dfa58655c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peangtarn Plipuechof Chenting Zhu, Peangtarn Plipuech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Chenting Zhu | 42c | 1,605$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.62 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Chenting Zhu | 68c | 1,025$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 56c | 909.66$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 61c | 798.85$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Chenting Zhu | 37c | 700.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 55c | 535.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 56c | 412.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 54c | 396.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 47c | 347.71$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Chenting Zhu | 45c | 256.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Chenting Zhu | 59c | 233.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 35c | 140.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 58c | 119.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Chenting Zhu | 41c | 115.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Chenting Zhu | 35c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 45c | 100.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chenting Zhu | 64c | 94.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Chenting Zhu | 64c | 92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 56c | 88.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Chenting Zhu | 56c | 71.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 61c | 69.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chenting Zhu | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…c06dbacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 64c | 48.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 54c | 44.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 67c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 62c | 43.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chenting Zhu | 44c | 42.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Peangtarn Plipuech | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Chenting Zhu | 46c | 37.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Peangtarn Plipuech | 58c | 36.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Chenting Zhu | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Chenting Zhu | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chenting Zhu | 65c | 15.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.