Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MODUS vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfe7c6d2b815d24d9276840dc9fb8d2d1c69f10b162e04bd4038439aa057707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof MODUS, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 7,087$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.37 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 5,258$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.3 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MODUS | 47c | 5,234$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.98 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS | 70c | 4,453$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.05 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 2,389$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.13 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS | 56c | 2,053$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.37 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 1,944$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.92 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS | 43c | 1,820$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.6 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 1,071$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.46 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 811.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.59 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 771.67$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.76 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 707.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 72c | 665.74$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.66 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed MODUS | 72c | 414.32$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 367.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 330.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 301.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf7…0e79backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 260.94$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked MODUS | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 197.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed MODUS | 53c | 176.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 160.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 123.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked MODUS | 20c | 118.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 105.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 98.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed MODUS | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed MODUS | 45c | 83.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MODUS | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed MODUS | 69c | 71.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 70.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 64c | 68.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MODUS | 47c | 61.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…6584backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 49.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked MODUS | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 44.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 41.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked MODUS | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 38.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked MODUS | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 66c | 27.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MODUS | 57c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ANemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.