Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. LNG Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cff185df66092c35d025fd116705b7f7e9d078d97c043853439a287e4f1f336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LNG Esports | 15c | 55,503$8,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,345.1 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG Esports | 17c | 18,211$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed LNG Esports | 9c | 14,291$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.15 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed LNG Esports | 18c | 12,123$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed LNG Esports | 12c | 10,162$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.98 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0e…8a7ebacked LNG Esports | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed LNG Esports | 18c | 3,526$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.53 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 11c | 3,250$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed LNG Esports | 9c | 1,900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed LNG Esports | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked LNG Esports | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked LNG Esports | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked LNG Esports | 18c | 940.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed LNG Esports | 9c | 800$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LNG Esports | 21c | 799.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed LNG Esports | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LNG Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed LNG Esports | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 450$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 301.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed LNG Esports | 19c | 222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed LNG Esports | 14c | 219$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…79dbbacked LNG Esports | 15c | 208.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed LNG Esports | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked LNG Esports | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked LNG Esports | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LNG Esports | 18c | 169.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 159.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked LNG Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.