Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d9e06eda7ec315dd4c62a0415fcd025fe87309510b4e3f1ac2bb3d3b1d7735b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rams Başakşehir FKof Trabzonspor, Rams Başakşehir FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 77c | 4,561$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Trabzonspor | 22c | 3,333$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Trabzonspor | 22c | 1,421$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trabzonspor | 27c | 736.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Trabzonspor | 35c | 256$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 65c | 248.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Trabzonspor | 27c | 199.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trabzonspor | 20c | 86.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 78c | 64.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Trabzonspor | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 75c | 52.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 75c | 46.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 48c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Trabzonspor | 30c | 35.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rams Başakşehir FK | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Rams Başakşehir FK | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Rams Başakşehir FK | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 70c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Trabzonspor | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Rams Başakşehir FK | 76c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Rams Başakşehir FK O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.