Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Mark Ceban
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbae288c11ec386ed4f5f88b34910123d2085822460c53bba7e7c655dab155e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anton Matusevichof Anton Matusevich, Mark Ceban
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mark Ceban | 7c | 5,665$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Mark Ceban | 3c | 3,022$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mark Ceban | 13c | 1,835$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 1,045$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Mark Ceban | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mark Ceban | 10c | 986.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mark Ceban | 17c | 984$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Anton Matusevich | 60c | 666.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Anton Matusevich | 59c | 628.48$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.68 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mark Ceban | 22c | 550.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mark Ceban | 39c | 517.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mark Ceban | 37c | 500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Anton Matusevich | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Anton Matusevich | 77c | 476.82$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.82 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 408.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Anton Matusevich | 78c | 397.36$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…9b1abacked Mark Ceban | 38c | 342.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -10.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mark Ceban | 39c | 338.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Anton Matusevich | 77c | 324.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Mark Ceban | 8c | 280.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Anton Matusevich | 64c | 267$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Anton Matusevich | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Mark Ceban | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 54.8%154 W · 127 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mark Ceban | 34c | 204$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mark Ceban | 26c | 192.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Anton Matusevich | 80c | 184$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Anton Matusevich | 59c | 157.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mark Ceban | 14c | 148.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Anton Matusevich | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Mark Ceban | 9c | 135$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mark Ceban | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Mark Ceban | 21c | 119.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mark Ceban | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Anton Matusevich | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mark Ceban | 35c | 105.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anton Matusevich | 61c | 96.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Mark Ceban | 35c | 93.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mark Ceban | 38c | 90.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anton Matusevich | 59c | 85.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mark Ceban | 22c | 82.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Mark Ceban | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Anton Matusevich | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Mark Ceban | 22c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Anton Matusevich | 71c | 65.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Mark Ceban | 27c | 57.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mark Ceban | 28c | 57.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Anton Matusevich | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…d809backed Anton Matusevich | 70c | 55.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Anton Matusevich | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mark Ceban | 43c | 44.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Anton Matusevich | 56c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Anton Matusevich | 63c | 34.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Mark Ceban | 44c | 32.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Anton Matusevich | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Anton Matusevich | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…ee3fbacked Anton Matusevich | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Anton Matusevich | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anton Matusevich | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked Anton Matusevich | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Anton Matusevich | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b6…6eb8backed Anton Matusevich | 75c | 24.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Anton Matusevich | 79c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Anton Matusevich | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Anton Matusevich | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Anton Matusevich | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Anton Matusevich | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Mark Cebanthis page
- Set Handicap: Matusevich (-1.5) vs Ceban (+1.5)Matusevich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.