Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dde4056e6a75452896841473b7f009ba123021387f5e11b460e9c357a0f9f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof BetBoom Team, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed OG | 42c | 7,274$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.38 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BetBoom Team | 57c | 4,082$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.78 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed BetBoom Team | 57c | 2,527$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.69 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 2,430$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.73 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 43c | 2,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.35 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked BetBoom Team | 63c | 2,061$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OG | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 44c | 1,993$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.68 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked OG | 43c | 1,861$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.92 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 59c | 1,727$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 1,608$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.79 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 36c | 1,275$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.73 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 55c | 1,274$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.09 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BetBoom Team | 56c | 829.83$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.14 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 34c | 776.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed OG | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 633.18$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.9 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…0c6ebacked BetBoom Team | 12c | 583.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked BetBoom Team | 66c | 509.09$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356e…a471backed BetBoom Team | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 38c | 417.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked OG | 40c | 359.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 36c | 320$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…68e3backed BetBoom Team | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 279.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 193.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed OG | 74c | 187.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed BetBoom Team | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BetBoom Team | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 136.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 112.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91b…5a12backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed BetBoom Team | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed BetBoom Team | 61c | 98.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 90.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed OG | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 68.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed OG | 47c | 66.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed OG | 41c | 65.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…ef23backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 57.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked OG | 40c | 55.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked OG | 35c | 51.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked BetBoom Team | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed OG | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 35.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…d252backed OG | 48c | 31.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…f991backed OG | 52c | 26.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed OG | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…c694backed BetBoom Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.