Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f14886d78c59ea685be7892b9158e2a689359cf9ce2e1a5cbdcb8ab1936fc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof BetBoom Team, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 8,601$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.02 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed BetBoom Team | 53c | 4,448$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.54 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed OG | 41c | 4,161$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.19 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed OG | 62c | 3,760$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.53 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 46c | 3,726$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.89 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed OG | 67c | 3,026$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.71 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked BetBoom Team | 65c | 2,831$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.64 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 41c | 2,561$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.25 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 1,883$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.27 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 28c | 1,881$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.75 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 40c | 1,863$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 1,763$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.73 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked OG | 40c | 1,519$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.95 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked OG | 41c | 1,453$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 1,370$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.07 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 59c | 1,280$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.8 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked BetBoom Team | 24c | 1,200$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed BetBoom Team | 25c | 900$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed OG | 69c | 891.56$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked BetBoom Team | 6c | 835.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 831.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.44 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 52c | 774.36$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.71 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 55c | 744.27$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked OG | 66c | 676.12$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 33c | 605.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.38 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed BetBoom Team | 13c | 553.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked BetBoom Team | 20c | 502.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked BetBoom Team | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BetBoom Team | 11c | 499.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked BetBoom Team | 13c | 390.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 390$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd823…e01bbacked BetBoom Team | 15c | 315.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed OG | 74c | 222.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BetBoom Team | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed OG | 70c | 160.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x356e…a471backed BetBoom Team | 63c | 142.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…6b31backed BetBoom Team | 25c | 140.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked OG | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked OG | 38c | 127.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed BetBoom Team | 58c | 121.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed BetBoom Team | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 44c | 113.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked OG | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked BetBoom Team | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked BetBoom Team | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed OG | 45c | 62.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed BetBoom Team | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed OG | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…8459backed OG | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 29.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed OG | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.