CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Imperial vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df3866665813cb06d37f7e0b729cd0d40a1a70b1fe216901385c445c531f9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Imperial, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Legacy | 34c | 3,435$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Imperial | 66c | 2,920$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Imperial | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Imperial | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Legacy | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Imperial | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Imperial | 62c | 796.15$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Legacy | 35c | 555$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Imperial | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Legacy | 42c | 489.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.67 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Imperial | 64c | 370$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Imperial | 22c | 310$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Imperial | 66c | 247$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Imperial | 66c | 236.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed Imperial | 42c | 232.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Legacy | 58c | 222.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Legacy | 38c | 197$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Legacy | 35c | 165$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Imperial | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Legacy | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Legacy | 45c | 147.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…1f1dbacked Imperial | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Imperial | 65c | 114.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Legacy | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked Legacy | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked Imperial | 68c | 52.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Imperial | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Imperial | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.