WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e378c79718aaabf234b6a9389997313a532b0f26506ac856f542335307d2ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Mystics, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mystics | 49c | 2,673$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.87 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Mystics | 6c | 2,519$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mystics | 21c | 2,160$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.36 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Mystics | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sky | 66c | 1,396$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sky | 57c | 1,338$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 68c | 1,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Sky | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mystics | 75c | 920$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Mystics | 28c | 712$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Sky | 27c | 612.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa348…e205backed Sky | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mystics | 32c | 592.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 27c | 539$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.47 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Mystics | 71c | 511.32$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Sky | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…f6e8backed Mystics | 73c | 493.69$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 68c | 483.5$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mystics | 77c | 423.37$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mystics | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 62c | 314.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 23c | 200.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.65 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Sky | 32c | 176.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Sky | 52c | 152.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 73c | 123.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Mystics | 44c | 104.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Mystics | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…dd9bbacked Sky | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sky | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Mystics | 49c | 99.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Mystics | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Mystics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sky | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Mystics | 46c | 91.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Sky | 32c | 67.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sky | 51c | 42.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Mystics | 69c | 41.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Sky | 41c | 40.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Mystics | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.