Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Milwaukee Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e522d3763b319602a68384f3e2b61068f4cf99625368c11608cfd5be13b8c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana State Sycamoresof Indiana State Sycamores, Milwaukee Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Milwaukee Panthers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Indiana State Sycamores | 50c | 5,125$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.66 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 4,115$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Milwaukee Panthers | 57c | 1,342$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.94 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Milwaukee Panthers | 45c | 626$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 445$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.88 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 75c | 305.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 39c | 299.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Panthers | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 37c | 257$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Panthers | 51c | 255.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 50c | 221.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 64c | 172$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 35c | 163$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 59c | 142$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 60c | 119.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Milwaukee Panthers | 52c | 109.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 41c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 58c | 85.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Indiana State Sycamores | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milwaukee Panthers | 31c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…d408backed Milwaukee Panthers | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…e2b1backed Milwaukee Panthers | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Milwaukee Panthersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-4.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.