Tennis · resolved market
Prague: Nerman Fatic vs Alec Beckley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e6b98bcf0e66bde77dfcefa618687b6f74e17e1c048a6d143c8daf1f8a3c3bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nerman Faticof Nerman Fatic, Alec Beckley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alec Beckley | 11c | 7,308$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Alec Beckley | 22c | 7,280$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nerman Fatic | 63c | 1,263$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Alec Beckley | 5c | 1,050$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Nerman Fatic | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Nerman Fatic | 64c | 849.87$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.39 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Nerman Fatic | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Alec Beckley | 40c | 756.66$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Nerman Fatic | 66c | 510.77$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.66 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nerman Fatic | 61c | 510$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Nerman Fatic | 59c | 405$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nerman Fatic | 74c | 390.25$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nerman Fatic | 63c | 389.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Nerman Fatic | 36c | 336.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Nerman Fatic | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alec Beckley | 40c | 331.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alec Beckley | 15c | 300.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nerman Fatic | 73c | 275.88$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alec Beckley | 20c | 266.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Alec Beckley | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Nerman Fatic | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Nerman Fatic | 60c | 171.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Alec Beckley | 39c | 154.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nerman Fatic | 64c | 122.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alec Beckley | 20c | 120.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Alec Beckley | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nerman Fatic | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Nerman Fatic | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Alec Beckley | 45c | 74.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Alec Beckley | 52c | 74.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Alec Beckley | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Nerman Fatic | 74c | 58.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alec Beckley | 46c | 54.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Alec Beckley | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nerman Fatic | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alec Beckley | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nerman Fatic | 58c | 39.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0a41backed Nerman Fatic | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Nerman Fatic | 79c | 24.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nerman Fatic | 54c | 21.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Nerman Fatic | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nerman Fatic | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Nerman Fatic | 62c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.