Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea04234f3759d3a2ca1677cfa6d4d3d349eecd0141d77a12c770bc266a443b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Morris Colonialsof Robert Morris Colonials, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x691a…d113backed Wright State Raiders | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wright State Raiders | 64c | 4,730$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.13 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Robert Morris Colonials | 55c | 3,973$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.66 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 2,900$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wright State Raiders | 25c | 2,034$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.56 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 1,759$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.76 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 74c | 1,636$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Wright State Raiders | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Wright State Raiders | 65c | 1,444$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Wright State Raiders | 17c | 1,412$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wright State Raiders | 46c | 1,006$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.05 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Wright State Raiders | 2c | 863.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 637.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wright State Raiders | 19c | 624.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 578$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Wright State Raiders | 18c | 502.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wright State Raiders | 45c | 458.62$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wright State Raiders | 32c | 395.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wright State Raiders | 15c | 388$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Robert Morris Colonials | 75c | 371$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Wright State Raiders | 26c | 343.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 37c | 300$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 258$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders | 23c | 248.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 67c | 238.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Wright State Raiders | 10c | 176.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 159.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wright State Raiders | 40c | 157.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Wright State Raiders | 64c | 155.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wright State Raiders | 64c | 149$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wright State Raiders | 30c | 143.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wright State Raiders | 27c | 129.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 108.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed Robert Morris Colonials | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Wright State Raiders | 35c | 86.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Wright State Raiders | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wright State Raiders | 64c | 60.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 79c | 60.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Wright State Raiders | 44c | 50.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Wright State Raiders | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 51c | 49.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wright State Raiders | 30c | 49.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Wright State Raiders | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 55c | 44.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Wright State Raiders | 38c | 44.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wright State Raiders | 26c | 43.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wright State Raiders | 64c | 42.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Wright State Raiders | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Wright State Raiders | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 31.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 35c | 30.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Robert Morris Colonials | 68c | 14.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Wright State Raidersthis page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-3.5)Robert Morris Colonials won
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-4.5)Robert Morris Colonials won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.