Premier League · resolved market
Stevenage FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea2bea6b4662a3f36875411ccbb5edd2a2e1ba426b93d55f3e8f6e0512bbd3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 6,289$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.4 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 4,705$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.16 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 20c | 1,388$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 889.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 73c | 406.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 78c | 388.31$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 11c | 311.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 43c | 232.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 20c | 210.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 199.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 113$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 22c | 46.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 41.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 49c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 36.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 58c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stevenage FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Stevenage FC vs. Reading FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Stevenage FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.