Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Toledo Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eeee27b3d01fbb726b6923df05735337b955aabbd1afefc6b39df0946ee7998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Toledo Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 14c | 1,974$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Toledo Rockets | 77c | 796$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.16 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 17c | 769$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Toledo Rockets | 77c | 730.18$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 18c | 455.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 454$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Toledo Rockets | 78c | 370$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 334.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 10c | 318.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 25c | 282$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 18c | 105.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…f2e0backed Toledo Rockets | 78c | 97.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 22c | 70.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Toledo Rockets | 78c | 66.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toledo Rockets | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Toledo Rockets | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Toledo Rocketsthis page
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.