Tennis · resolved market
Pau: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Bouquier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef495eb64dda817cb4e66bb29a269209a64dfa565f076bca22801ab482ca0d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Bonzi, Bouquier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21aa…d590backed Bouquier | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bouquier | 21c | 6,675$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bonzi | 67c | 4,694$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bouquier | 28c | 984.53$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Bouquier | 44c | 444.54$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Bonzi | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Bouquier | 57c | 358.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bouquier | 7c | 264.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bouquier | 20c | 216.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Bonzi | 72c | 215.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Bonzi | 67c | 173.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Bonzi | 70c | 172.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Bonzi | 72c | 169.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Bonzi | 65c | 154.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Bonzi | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Bouquier | 20c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bouquier | 30c | 129.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Bouquier | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Bonzi | 75c | 75.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Bonzi | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Bouquier | 29c | 54.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Bonzi | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Bonzi | 72c | 44.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bouquier | 37c | 42.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Bonzi | 59c | 42.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…1e38backed Bonzi | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3417…3a16backed Bouquier | 26c | 40.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Bonzi | 75c | 37.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bonzi | 61c | 37.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Bonzi | 65c | 36.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Bouquier | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…aaedbacked Bouquier | 35c | 29.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bonzi | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Bonzi | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Bouquier | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 65c | 23.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Bonzi | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.