CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef9f10bda3c95639f8569c3c5a900ff372b9e9d05381c0d964f7e8b7fc449ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Sinners, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5aa…e7eebacked Sinners | 46c | 6,346$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 6,121$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.78 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009d…b146backed Sinners | 46c | 4,010$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 1,641$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.19 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 740.74$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 631 | 56.4%356 W · 275 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sinners | 37c | 442$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 440.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 423.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 605 | 41%248 W · 357 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 339 | 61.9%210 W · 129 L | +25.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +19.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 54.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Sinners | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 174 | 37.4%65 W · 109 L | -13.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Sinners | 29c | 36.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 398 | 22.6%90 W · 308 L | -43.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 197 | 67.5%133 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.