CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48caf451db1e4f3b94b4ce577b345638de66505986f73eff9653676e0ecd6f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Sinners, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 2,006$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.8 | 403 | 46.7%188 W · 215 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sinners | 57c | 724.3$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.28 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 709.13$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners | 56c | 676$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.91 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Sinners | 21c | 550$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 580 | 37.8%219 W · 361 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sinners | 48c | 368.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 331$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 317.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Sinners | 65c | 310.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 138 | 69.6%96 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 623 | 42.7%266 W · 357 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Sinners | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sinners | 31c | 282$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Sinners | 24c | 266.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked Sinners | 33c | 158.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 149.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 145.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 140$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 123.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 426 | 56.8%242 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 2,442 | 46.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L | -54.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinners | 49c | 115.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sinners | 42c | 102.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…d86cbacked Sinners | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinners | 41c | 95.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4212…f0d3backed Sinners | 61c | 93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Sinners | 29c | 83.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Sinners | 51c | 79.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Sinners | 41c | 77.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…558bbacked Sinners | 65c | 76.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Sinners | 21c | 74.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 369 | 34.1%126 W · 243 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 43c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 48c | 70.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sinners | 50c | 69.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 718 | 42.3%304 W · 414 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sinners | 35c | 64.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinners | 52c | 63.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 57.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sinners | 59c | 56.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Sinners | 51c | 52.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Sinners | 67c | 51.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 197 | 67.5%133 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sinners | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 35.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 35.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 32.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Sinners | 53c | 23.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…3b09backed Sinners | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.