CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fedbf078decf6bf88bc31ef889970620230f3e337c3217236ace1dbfa0e26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Sinners | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 2,065$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.13 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sinners | 62c | 1,585$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.05 | 2,561 | 43.2%1,107 W · 1,454 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 1,022$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sinners | 62c | 814.99$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 269 | 75.5%203 W · 66 L | +25.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Sinners | 61c | 790.78$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.95 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 503$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 277.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 623 | 42.7%266 W · 357 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Sinners | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 273.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Sinners | 46c | 196.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 301 | 38.2%115 W · 186 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 132$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…f6ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 131.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 124$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…afbfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 108.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners | 60c | 107$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 487 | 46.6%227 W · 260 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Sinners | 59c | 101.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 517 | 56.3%291 W · 226 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sinners | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 614 | 48.4%297 W · 317 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Sinners | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 274 | 42.7%117 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sinners | 54c | 98.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…558bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 94.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 2,608 | 41.2%1,075 W · 1,533 L | -123.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 77.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Sinners | 65c | 75.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 202 | 42.6%86 W · 116 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sinners | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Sinners | 61c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Sinners | 58c | 72.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 239 | 35.6%85 W · 154 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 64.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 61.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 61.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 47.4%201 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 59.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 57.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 56.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 51.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 50.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 43.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 197 | 67.5%133 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sinners | 65c | 36.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 33.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 62c | 32.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 31.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Sinners | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 254 | 50.8%129 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Sinners | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 160 | 78.8%126 W · 34 L | +18.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Sinners | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 44 | 88.6%39 W · 5 L | +8.3wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sinners | 60c | 28.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Sinners | 73c | 27.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…122ebacked Sinners | 43c | 27.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.