Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships: Diallo vs. Griekspoor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f736ce7606e83b01e6256996388cc29f6eab5ae9e86eef2c47fc1fa25d2061d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Diallo, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Diallo | 40c | 2,732$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Diallo | 23c | 1,537$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.87 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Diallo | 53c | 999.15$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.55 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Griekspoor | 66c | 994.2$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Griekspoor | 75c | 934$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Griekspoor | 47c | 897.87$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.87 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Griekspoor | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Griekspoor | 67c | 737.5$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.06 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Diallo | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Diallo | 52c | 521.06$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.1 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Griekspoor | 50c | 493.29$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diallo | 51c | 481.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.91 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Griekspoor | 50c | 459.88$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Diallo | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Griekspoor | 73c | 338.86$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Griekspoor | 47c | 212.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Diallo | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Griekspoor | 49c | 145.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Diallo | 53c | 127.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Griekspoor | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Griekspoor | 47c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Diallo | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Griekspoor | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Griekspoor | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Diallo | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Diallo | 53c | 36.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Diallo | 53c | 32.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…b398backed Diallo | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Griekspoor | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Diallo | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.