Lol · resolved market

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff183e4d36856d7afc88c431c1278ebd2ae89dab34d01a9d1d89eae3fe997e3

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: KT Rolster Challengersof KT Rolster Challengers, DRX Challengers
Resolved: Feb 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $98,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,492 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecb7…e8e5backed DRX Challengers	1c	22,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	46	2.2%1 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-84.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX Challengers	38c	8,000$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,049.99	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked KT Rolster Challengers	61c	3,221$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.05	2,004	58.2%1,166 W · 838 L	+86.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed DRX Challengers	31c	3,126$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.09	301	39.5%119 W · 182 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed KT Rolster Challengers	63c	2,706$1,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.95	273	46.9%128 W · 145 L	-14.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed KT Rolster Challengers	63c	2,415$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.27	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed KT Rolster Challengers	62c	2,318$1,437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.86	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed DRX Challengers	2c	2,223$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.19	448	43.8%196 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed DRX Challengers	39c	1,996$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.56	641	55.7%357 W · 284 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed DRX Challengers	6c	1,993$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.5	941	34.5%325 W · 616 L	+33.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed KT Rolster Challengers	60c	1,829$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$722.89	440	47.5%209 W · 231 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked DRX Challengers	12c	1,776$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.9	1,447	13.3%192 W · 1,255 L	-109.5wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed DRX Challengers	40c	1,414$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.06	288	27.4%79 W · 209 L	-30.6wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed DRX Challengers	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	219	3.2%7 W · 212 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed KT Rolster Challengers	61c	999.99$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	236	57.2%135 W · 101 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DRX Challengers	39c	753.37$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.81	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed KT Rolster Challengers	71c	709.19$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.85	136	58.8%80 W · 56 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked KT Rolster Challengers	75c	550$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.23	1,536	62.6%961 W · 575 L	+157.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed DRX Challengers	38c	512.43$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.61	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed DRX Challengers	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	160	40%64 W · 96 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed KT Rolster Challengers	61c	500$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	840	50.1%421 W · 419 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked DRX Challengers	25c	500$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	1,009	49.2%496 W · 513 L	+30.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed KT Rolster Challengers	68c	465.56$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.28	440	42%185 W · 255 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed DRX Challengers	40c	434.63$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.85	392	39%153 W · 239 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed DRX Challengers	23c	400$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	524	38.9%204 W · 320 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed DRX Challengers	31c	399.98$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.99	684	43.6%298 W · 386 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked DRX Challengers	39c	396.84$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.77	308	56.5%174 W · 134 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed KT Rolster Challengers	67c	380.86$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.68	134	44%59 W · 75 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed DRX Challengers	38c	372.99$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.67	149	36.9%55 W · 94 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed KT Rolster Challengers	65c	349.43$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.21	151	55.6%84 W · 67 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed DRX Challengers	6c	327$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.22	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed KT Rolster Challengers	61c	299.99$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117	306	61.1%187 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DRX Challengers	31c	295.01$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.34	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked DRX Challengers	16c	265$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-19.9wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed DRX Challengers	38c	263.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	664	45.6%303 W · 361 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked KT Rolster Challengers	66c	261.76$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	1,356	51.1%693 W · 663 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed KT Rolster Challengers	71c	257$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.53	744	62.2%463 W · 281 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked KT Rolster Challengers	61c	256.63$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.52	955	51.7%494 W · 461 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed DRX Challengers	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,545	43.7%675 W · 870 L	-18.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked DRX Challengers	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.42	428	35%150 W · 278 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed DRX Challengers	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4aa…2ea8backed DRX Challengers	16c	199.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-9.5wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed DRX Challengers	36c	199.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1,399	43.7%612 W · 787 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked KT Rolster Challengers	65c	199.99$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e4…98bebacked KT Rolster Challengers	66c	183$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.46	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked DRX Challengers	39c	179$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.81	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed KT Rolster Challengers	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	743	44%327 W · 416 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…e42ebacked KT Rolster Challengers	64c	171.88$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.88	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7810…d52fbacked KT Rolster Challengers	61c	165.74$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.28	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed DRX Challengers	39c	163.33$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	175	42.3%74 W · 101 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed KT Rolster Challengers	68c	150.45$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.29	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed KT Rolster Challengers	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	571	51.5%294 W · 277 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e0…7288backed DRX Challengers	16c	128.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed KT Rolster Challengers	67c	111.94$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.94	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd198…8797backed KT Rolster Challengers	65c	110$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+12.4wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed DRX Challengers	40c	109.52$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	751	42.1%316 W · 435 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked DRX Challengers	48c	95.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	431	38.1%164 W · 267 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked KT Rolster Challengers	64c	93.28$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.28	1,048	46.1%483 W · 565 L	-43.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbb…b5f9backed DRX Challengers	20c	92.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked KT Rolster Challengers	61c	82.9$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.33	302	55.6%168 W · 134 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8e…31c0backed KT Rolster Challengers	62c	80.16$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.16	120	40.8%49 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09c…8535backed DRX Challengers	35c	71.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa47b…b3f8backed DRX Challengers	38c	61.03$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.19	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed DRX Challengers	39c	60.51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b3…df4ebacked KT Rolster Challengers	69c	57.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed DRX Challengers	40c	56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	431	48%207 W · 224 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed DRX Challengers	37c	53.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	409	59.2%242 W · 167 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked DRX Challengers	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed DRX Challengers	31c	45.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked KT Rolster Challengers	75c	40.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.1	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed KT Rolster Challengers	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	576	55.9%322 W · 254 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed KT Rolster Challengers	67c	35.9$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.9	670	57.5%385 W · 285 L	+24.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked KT Rolster Challengers	63c	33.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.33	182	58.8%107 W · 75 L	-10.5wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d85…9ed0backed KT Rolster Challengers	69c	31.88$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked KT Rolster Challengers	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	383	35%134 W · 249 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed KT Rolster Challengers	67c	29.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed KT Rolster Challengers	62c	29.03$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.03	187	50.8%95 W · 92 L	-15.4wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed KT Rolster Challengers	79c	27.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.86	249	60.2%150 W · 99 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked DRX Challengers	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	62	50%31 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f07…b10abacked KT Rolster Challengers	69c	24.76$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.76	53	64.2%34 W · 19 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed KT Rolster Challengers	63c	20.75$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.68	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed KT Rolster Challengers	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.3	106	38.7%41 W · 65 L	-10.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DRX Challengers (+1.5)DRX Challengers won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsKT Rolster Challengers won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDRX Challengers won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 WinnerDRX Challengers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event