CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x501f9d5380767bd2bffaa463221d91c2cc5c93a14f940771f84482f292e8f6c2

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Falcons Forceof Misa Esports, Falcons Force
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Falcons Force	47c	7,627$3,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,044.74	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports	56c	4,356$2,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,436.82	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43f…6c9dbacked Falcons Force	50c	2,257$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134.53	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.4wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Misa Esports	11c	1,918$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.1	364	46.7%170 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Misa Esports	50c	1,368$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.8	292	35.6%104 W · 188 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Misa Esports	46c	1,229$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.02	331	46.5%154 W · 177 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Misa Esports	36c	1,091$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.8	752	45.3%341 W · 411 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Falcons Force	60c	971.26$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.85	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports	48c	960.44$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.6	1,088	54.2%590 W · 498 L	+39.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Falcons Force	42c	950$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.6	295	43.1%127 W · 168 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports	22c	834.55$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Misa Esports	56c	790.7$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.85	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports	18c	699.35$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.71	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed Falcons Force	57c	691.35$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.03	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports	61c	654.2$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.84	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df3…1411backed Falcons Force	63c	630.81$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.39	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Falcons Force	61c	611.96$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.3	489	48.9%239 W · 250 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed Misa Esports	45c	559.99$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.59	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Misa Esports	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed Misa Esports	27c	514.04$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Misa Esports	59c	460$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	357	45.4%162 W · 195 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Misa Esports	57c	452$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.66	514	46.9%241 W · 273 L	-22.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xece5…6de0backed Falcons Force	42c	440$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.4	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Misa Esports	71c	408.02$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.69	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Falcons Force	61c	356.78$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.66	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed Misa Esports	62c	348.08$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.41	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Misa Esports	67c	335$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.95	194	47.4%92 W · 102 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Falcons Force	61c	320.39$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.95	258	46.1%119 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Misa Esports	20c	301.66$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.17	1,033	53.2%550 W · 483 L	+64.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Misa Esports	60c	269.34$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.74	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports	55c	230$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f15…7691backed Misa Esports	59c	203$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.77	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Falcons Force	63c	199.95$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.98	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports	27c	189.59$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.64	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Misa Esports	45c	188.03$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.28	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Misa Esports	61c	185.71$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.67	587	45.5%267 W · 320 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports	39c	169.96$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.91	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b6…eec6backed Misa Esports	70c	163.79$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports	39c	159.22$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.04	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Misa Esports	67c	159$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.01	1,146	43.5%499 W · 647 L	-17.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e09…22febacked Misa Esports	70c	154.03$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.52	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Misa Esports	57c	138.73$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.12	418	53.6%224 W · 194 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e40…81f2backed Misa Esports	69c	133.77$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports	40c	125$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.43	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Misa Esports	57c	125$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.03	207	42.5%88 W · 119 L	-17.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x403f…105abacked Misa Esports	49c	122.49$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports	19c	121.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.65	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Falcons Force	53c	101.28$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.28	218	45.9%100 W · 118 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Misa Esports	71c	100$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Falcons Force	61c	94.39$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.81	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports	18c	85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.1	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Misa Esports	13c	85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x824a…3952backed Falcons Force	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	141	39.7%56 W · 85 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Falcons Force	71c	80.61$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Falcons Force	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	260	48.5%126 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports	50c	73$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Falcons Force	69c	73$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Misa Esports	56c	69.64$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	719	51%367 W · 352 L	+28.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Misa Esports	57c	66.66$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	241	52.3%126 W · 115 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Falcons Force	53c	63$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.69	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports	31c	61.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb140…ce3dbacked Falcons Force	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Misa Esports	47c	39.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	118	31.4%37 W · 81 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Falcons Force	52c	37.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.94	90	44.4%40 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Misa Esports	54c	36.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	593	54.8%325 W · 268 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Misa Esports	57c	36.7$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa4…1211backed Falcons Force	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x207a…6744backed Misa Esports	47c	34.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-4.2wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Falcons Force	33c	30.31$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.31	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Misa Esports	50c	29.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	81	53.1%43 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Falcons Force	60c	29.09$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.64	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Falcons Force	54c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	406	66.3%269 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Falcons Force	43c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.89	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Misa Esports	53c	23.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.65	368	56.8%209 W · 159 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Misa Esports	42c	23.54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	526	45.1%237 W · 289 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Falcons Force	50c	23.2$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	309	39.2%121 W · 188 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd87a…540dbacked Falcons Force	54c	22.33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.27	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DFalcons Force won
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event