CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x616de86e6be70b7365148be000d899a069120a797f0c7f2df10f143c4d7b3e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Misa Esports, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Falcons Force | 58c | 6,372$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.57 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports | 29c | 4,180$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.16 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 34c | 3,746$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.55 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Misa Esports | 23c | 3,090$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.68 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Falcons Force | 57c | 1,705$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.36 | 217 | 59.9%130 W · 87 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed Falcons Force | 68c | 1,360$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.36 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Misa Esports | 45c | 1,080$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.58 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Falcons Force | 68c | 754.9$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.41 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 34c | 699.78$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 566.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Falcons Force | 56c | 555$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Misa Esports | 38c | 540$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Falcons Force | 58c | 422.61$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Falcons Force | 59c | 409.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 34c | 350.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Misa Esports | 12c | 311.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 366 | 44.8%164 W · 202 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 29c | 305.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Falcons Force | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked Falcons Force | 65c | 299.76$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Misa Esports | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Falcons Force | 74c | 264.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 936 | 45.3%424 W · 512 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Falcons Force | 61c | 250$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Falcons Force | 59c | 235.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Falcons Force | 59c | 230.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Misa Esports | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Misa Esports | 38c | 209.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 510 | 42.7%218 W · 292 L | -17.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Misa Esports | 38c | 202.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Falcons Force | 71c | 189.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 42c | 184.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Falcons Force | 77c | 183.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Misa Esports | 39c | 182.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 1,444 | 33.4%482 W · 962 L | +39.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Falcons Force | 72c | 174.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Falcons Force | 60c | 166.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4176…1ddcbacked Falcons Force | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 115$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed Falcons Force | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…efa7backed Falcons Force | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Falcons Force | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Misa Esports | 22c | 80.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Falcons Force | 67c | 80.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force | 62c | 77.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Falcons Force | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 1,984 | 42.2%838 W · 1,146 L | -74.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 71.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 603 | 45.8%276 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Misa Esports | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 742 | 51.1%379 W · 363 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Falcons Force | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 672 | 49.1%330 W · 342 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Misa Esports | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Falcons Force | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 458 | 75.8%347 W · 111 L | +25.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 63.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 19c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 38c | 51.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…8189backed Misa Esports | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Misa Esports | 39c | 44.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…cd90backed Falcons Force | 76c | 34.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Falcons Force | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Falcons Force | 61c | 33.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Falcons Force | 69c | 32.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 31.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 76c | 29.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 27.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Falcons Force | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed Misa Esports | 47c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Falcons Force | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 718 | 42.3%304 W · 414 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force - Map 1 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.