Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jaime Faria vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5023a3e5da74733abff1bee3f53358e9c175d8e6db348ebca2f7ae33a27e2021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Faria, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Faria | 1c | 4,742$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Faria | 11c | 3,639$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Faria | 11c | 3,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.01 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Faria | 11c | 3,150$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Faria | 10c | 2,070$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Faria | 7c | 1,782$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Faria | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Faria | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Faria | 11c | 717$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Faria | 10c | 715.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Faria | 8c | 681.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Faria | 6c | 643.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Faria | 9c | 622.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Faria | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Faria | 5c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Faria | 10c | 330.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Faria | 9c | 329.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Faria | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Faria | 7c | 185.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Faria | 7c | 178.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Faria | 14c | 176.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Faria | 12c | 132.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Faria | 9c | 118.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Faria | 15c | 116.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Faria | 18c | 110.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Faria | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…5d42backed Faria | 15c | 92.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Faria | 24c | 84.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…2b7ebacked Faria | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rublev | 76c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Jaime Faria vs Andrey Rublevthis page
- Faria vs. Rublev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Faria vs. Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Faria (+2.5)Faria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.