NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d785ffc8d89aa153d31307aa61c9b7f08cd44f9b8d12cfb5ee3b0594841f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,266 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 51c | 806.93$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.94 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 27c | 430$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 71c | 396$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 368$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…be2bbacked Under | 68c | 333.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…2bb7backed Under | 60c | 293.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 53c | 216.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 196.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 51c | 190.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 188.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 168.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 131.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 85.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 70.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 66.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 49c | 29.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 50c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5this page
- Panthers vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.