NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99eead76a2cb7e6947352152f6b00cfd2834e851fa84fdc36c132bd1586e61b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Panthers, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,407 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Panthers | 22c | 974.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…fffbbacked Canucks | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…8abcbacked Canucks | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Canucks | 77c | 674.09$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…5cacbacked Canucks | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks | 63c | 529.74$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Panthers | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 34c | 328.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Canucks | 65c | 286.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Panthers | 35c | 248.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Canucks | 64c | 220.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Panthers | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Canucks | 76c | 181.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Panthers | 34c | 147.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Panthers | 35c | 142.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Canucks | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 64c | 103.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Canucks | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Panthers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Panthers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Panthers | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Panthers | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Panthers | 29c | 85.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Canucks | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Panthers | 37c | 80.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 76c | 69.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Panthers | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked Panthers | 36c | 57.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…34b9backed Panthers | 36c | 54.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Panthers | 36c | 54.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…2dadbacked Panthers | 36c | 53.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Panthers | 23c | 52.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 31c | 49.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 74c | 46.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panthers | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Panthers | 37c | 41.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Panthers | 34c | 41.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Panthers | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Panthers | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Canucks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Panthers | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Canucks | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canucks | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Canucks | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…9af8backed Canucks | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe000…6a4ebacked Canucks | 64c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Canucks | 66c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 76c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.