Tennis · resolved market
La Bisbal: Caroline Werner vs Carlota Martinez Cirez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f34142e9e1507a1958935648810f697c31b70d031964e134fb506e7e312c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caroline Wernerof Caroline Werner, Carlota Martinez Cirez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Caroline Werner | 71c | 5,006$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.82 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 25c | 2,806$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.23 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Caroline Werner | 79c | 2,367$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.28 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 23c | 1,983$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.36 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 15c | 1,774$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.04 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 20c | 1,099$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 39c | 992$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.88 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Caroline Werner | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 28c | 761.69$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.51 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Caroline Werner | 51c | 688.79$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 22c | 493.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 11c | 391.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 54c | 360.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 30c | 299.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Caroline Werner | 77c | 272.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 28c | 232$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 19c | 221.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 29c | 209$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Caroline Werner | 74c | 208.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Caroline Werner | 60c | 170.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 50c | 153.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Caroline Werner | 70c | 152.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Caroline Werner | 68c | 139.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Caroline Werner | 77c | 101.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 44c | 100.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Caroline Werner | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Caroline Werner | 61c | 74.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 42c | 74.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 19c | 73.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Caroline Werner | 63c | 67.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Caroline Werner | 48c | 64.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…a8edbacked Caroline Werner | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…40d3backed Caroline Werner | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 114 | 69.3%79 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Caroline Werner | 78c | 46.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Caroline Werner | 76c | 45.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 800 | 51%408 W · 392 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Caroline Werner | 74c | 32.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…0a56backed Caroline Werner | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Caroline Werner | 73c | 29.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Caroline Werner | 75c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…8754backed Caroline Werner | 74c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…bad3backed Caroline Werner | 76c | 13.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Caroline Werner | 78c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- La Bisbal: Caroline Werner vs Carlota Martinez Cirezthis page
- Caroline Werner vs. Carlota Martinez Cirez: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Werner vs CirezWerner won
- Werner vs. Cirez: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Werner vs. Cirez: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Werner vs. Cirez: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.