Tennis · resolved market
Cherbourg: Tom Paris vs Lucas Poullain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51729e6021e5c7ff462c053c08785745e23e74475541e6dfa5e0c3f7db20bdd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucas Poullainof Tom Paris, Lucas Poullain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,823 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tom Paris | 11c | 3,320$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.64 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Lucas Poullain | 53c | 1,902$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.89 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lucas Poullain | 65c | 1,267$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tom Paris | 46c | 1,167$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.36 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Tom Paris | 2c | 933$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Tom Paris | 18c | 880.61$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucas Poullain | 65c | 712.88$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Tom Paris | 26c | 602.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tom Paris | 49c | 577$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tom Paris | 47c | 520.52$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.86 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tom Paris | 6c | 477$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lucas Poullain | 53c | 380.39$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Tom Paris | 49c | 373.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tom Paris | 50c | 362.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tom Paris | 21c | 334.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Tom Paris | 18c | 324.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tom Paris | 47c | 302.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Lucas Poullain | 72c | 278.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Tom Paris | 25c | 257.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…ef58backed Tom Paris | 6c | 250.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lucas Poullain | 76c | 220$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lucas Poullain | 75c | 217.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lucas Poullain | 53c | 214.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Tom Paris | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lucas Poullain | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Tom Paris | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tom Paris | 29c | 177.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Tom Paris | 22c | 176.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Lucas Poullain | 75c | 155.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tom Paris | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Tom Paris | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Lucas Poullain | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tom Paris | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Lucas Poullain | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…550cbacked Lucas Poullain | 79c | 126.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Tom Paris | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tom Paris | 21c | 122.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tom Paris | 22c | 121.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lucas Poullain | 68c | 119.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lucas Poullain | 51c | 105.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lucas Poullain | 51c | 102$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Lucas Poullain | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tom Paris | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Tom Paris | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lucas Poullain | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lucas Poullain | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Tom Paris | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tom Paris | 23c | 86.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tom Paris | 22c | 85.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…4e3bbacked Tom Paris | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Tom Paris | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tom Paris | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Lucas Poullain | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Lucas Poullain | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Tom Paris | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Tom Paris | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Lucas Poullain | 51c | 43.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Tom Paris | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tom Paris | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Tom Paris | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Tom Paris | 47c | 29.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Lucas Poullain | 79c | 28.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…1f0abacked Lucas Poullain | 76c | 28.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tom Paris | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Lucas Poullain | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Lucas Poullain | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cherbourg: Tom Paris vs Lucas Poullainthis page
- Paris vs. Poullain: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Paris vs PoullainPoullain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.