CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51733b0a0199bcb6b325952c758c66a06e8f21e8ad98cb52e807325bd869c5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Bounty Hunters Esports, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 1,710$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 16c | 1,522$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.87 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Keyd | 42c | 1,470$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.87 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 79c | 1,257$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 952$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Keyd | 42c | 793.6$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.42 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 589.41$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 17c | 500$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Keyd | 29c | 475.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 407$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 29c | 395.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Keyd | 20c | 251.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Keyd | 17c | 206.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 187.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Keyd | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Keyd | 11c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 135$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 21c | 105.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 10c | 104.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 103.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Keyd | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Keyd | 18c | 56.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…a4edbacked Keyd | 42c | 39.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Keyd | 39c | 29.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…9852backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.