CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5188c7073a26a66e18ee5d969303ea47c1f8d64d820b5dae8b2b1ab0398dfe06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of BESTIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x668d…e471backed BESTIA | 49c | 6,385$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed BESTIA | 67c | 2,961$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.74 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 45c | 2,906$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BESTIA | 39c | 2,716$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.85 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked B8 | 75c | 2,461$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.96 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked B8 | 52c | 2,168$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.67 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed B8 | 46c | 2,045$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.59 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed B8 | 33c | 1,895$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.87 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed B8 | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 52c | 1,007$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed BESTIA | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed BESTIA | 25c | 888$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA | 65c | 765.66$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.43 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked B8 | 56c | 653.75$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.83 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed B8 | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed B8 | 35c | 575.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed B8 | 56c | 532.26$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked BESTIA | 41c | 457.07$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed B8 | 56c | 427.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked B8 | 51c | 397.83$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed B8 | 67c | 290.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked BESTIA | 33c | 259.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked BESTIA | 67c | 234.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.83 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed BESTIA | 51c | 203.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked BESTIA | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed BESTIA | 39c | 140.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked B8 | 39c | 139.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked B8 | 44c | 136.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked B8 | 26c | 134.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 65c | 129.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA | 32c | 110.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed B8 | 56c | 109.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked B8 | 43c | 109$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BESTIA | 40c | 101.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed B8 | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 50c | 99.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 65c | 99.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed BESTIA | 54c | 99.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed BESTIA | 49c | 84.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed BESTIA | 44c | 67.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed B8 | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BESTIA | 52c | 61.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 48c | 56.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked BESTIA | 26c | 55.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked BESTIA | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 44c | 54.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed B8 | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed BESTIA | 55c | 46.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 48c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BESTIA | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed B8 | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed B8 | 50c | 35.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed B8 | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed B8 | 58c | 34.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked B8 | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BESTIA | 54c | 34.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed B8 | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed B8 | 56c | 32.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked B8 | 64c | 32.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed B8 | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed B8 | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BESTIA | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked BESTIA | 53c | 21.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed BESTIA | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsB8 won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.