CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc49f7d09b9080506b341d6b1a198483dcd193a11c68fbd58276cfccac586602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked B8 | 5c | 3,600$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed BESTIA | 67c | 2,784$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.03 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BESTIA | 66c | 2,273$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.66 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 60c | 1,401$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.7 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed B8 | 47c | 1,200$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed B8 | 30c | 1,075$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.44 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed B8 | 61c | 1,010$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.13 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA | 58c | 826.47$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.35 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked B8 | 36c | 778.43$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 29c | 729$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked BESTIA | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed BESTIA | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed BESTIA | 57c | 182$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked BESTIA | 49c | 162$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked BESTIA | 49c | 154$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked BESTIA | 34c | 124.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked B8 | 43c | 110.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked B8 | 59c | 105.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked BESTIA | 64c | 99.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked B8 | 36c | 98.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed B8 | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed B8 | 33c | 94.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed BESTIA | 47c | 94.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed B8 | 53c | 93.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed BESTIA | 53c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed BESTIA | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed BESTIA | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed BESTIA | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed B8 | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed BESTIA | 41c | 63.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed BESTIA | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed BESTIA | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BESTIA | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed BESTIA | 80c | 43.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked B8 | 45c | 36.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked BESTIA | 65c | 36.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed BESTIA | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BESTIA | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…1931backed BESTIA | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked B8 | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed B8 | 41c | 27.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsB8 won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.