Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519b7bd30a2fc2fa2c5ea4add059c0f6f7471856fe71123c517e7e31127eac58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 65c | 1,395$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.12 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Under | 71c | 845.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.14 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 29c | 361.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 28c | 176.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Over | 35c | 161.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 29c | 148.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 124.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Over | 49c | 52.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 52.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 24c | 50.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Under | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.