Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe91b028931f6e44c324e5d0a483e8edc2feb1fe3b7391e80dd85548ff8dce79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 3,519$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.6 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Under | 47c | 2,912$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.82 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 2,813$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.34 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 1,939$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.95 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 1,391$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.22 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 47c | 914.89$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.89 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 531.16$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 48c | 303.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…8450backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 52c | 247.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 201.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 52c | 57.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…d37bbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 60c | 33.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 230 | 62.6%144 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 23.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…07ddbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.