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Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x696a…e23abacked Under64c2,667$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.841540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under64c1,614$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.1185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Over33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00529232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over39c1,278$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.382,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c1,070$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over37c870$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.126246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over35c547.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.62,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under60c465.45$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7529154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c409$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.032,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Under76c394.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002650%13 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Over34c305$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0851458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under60c299.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed Over39c253.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.189248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c248.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under49c224.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.663745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over39c184.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…76b9backed Over40c177.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.54535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under67c152.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.272,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c132.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over44c128$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.121,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c116.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.961,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under60c100.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6147049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c97.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.272,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over53c91.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1716737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c68…d4ffbacked Under65c76.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Over41c73.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.589713.4%13 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under64c72.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6634056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c67.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Under58c66.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.155925.4%15 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over35c57.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1543460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over55c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under63c46.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.620561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over36c41.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e9…0eb7backed Under49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Over35c39.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4923858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec52…59e8backed Under44c37.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.556147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under60c37.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4537348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under60c31.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1845254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under65c26.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.271,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x746d…81dbbacked Under61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.