Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e04a2d36130e374d38f91b2eb5c564d7d51f856e7bd28e69d7e60ec6ea5634f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x146a…9cedbacked Over | 21c | 2,406$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 77c | 1,869$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.58 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 80c | 1,597$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 1,396$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Over | 26c | 1,289$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 882.45$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 78c | 807.9$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 21c | 714.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Under | 76c | 497.73$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 78c | 419.74$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…f9f5backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 25c | 342.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 320.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 234.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Over | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 73c | 194.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…3854backed Over | 20c | 161.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed Over | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…9a78backed Under | 79c | 97.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 77c | 72.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 71.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…f0f3backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Over | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Under | 31c | 33.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…5fe8backed Over | 36c | 27.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Team to Take First CornerBrazil won
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.